Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000035
2025-01-19 0.000014 0.000016 0.000019 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000047
2025-01-26 0.000012 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000060
2025-02-02 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000048 0.000076
2025-02-09 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000035 0.000054 0.000092
2025-02-16 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000024 0.000037 0.000061 0.000115
2025-02-23 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000039 0.000069 0.000145
2025-03-02 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000042 0.000078 0.000182
2025-03-09 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000043 0.000086 0.000220
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000044 0.000093 0.000263
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000024 0.000046 0.000102 0.000324
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000025 0.000048 0.000112 0.000401
2025-04-06 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000049 0.000120 0.000480
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000050 0.000129 0.000590
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000141 0.000746
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000054 0.000158 0.001008
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000055 0.000172 0.001301
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000057 0.000192 0.001826
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000061 0.000222 0.002855
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000065 0.000254 0.004565
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000066 0.000277 0.006765
2025-06-08 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000067 0.000300 0.010253
2025-06-15 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000070 0.000335 0.018666